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U.S. Withdrawal from Syria Poses Risks of ISIS Resurgence and Regional Instability

Gulan Media January 28, 2024 News
U.S. Withdrawal from Syria Poses Risks of ISIS Resurgence and Regional Instability

Recent reports have ignited concerns over a potential U.S. withdrawal from Syria, with warnings of dire consequences for the region. Sinam Sherkany Mohamad, representative of the Syrian Democratic Council, emphasized that such a move would unleash over 12,500 ISIS fighters, posing a significant threat to the Middle East, North Africa, and beyond.

Mohamad also highlighted the potential persecution of minorities and the vulnerable situation of those who played a crucial role in countering ISIS. The U.S. currently has approximately 900 troops in Syria, collaborating with the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) to combat ISIS and Iranian-backed militias.

Despite assurances from the Biden administration and a State Department spokesperson that there are no plans for a U.S. withdrawal, concerns persist. Mohamad pointed out Iran's longstanding efforts to expand its influence in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon, with the Autonomous Region serving as a vital strategic barrier.

The Institute for the Study of War reported a coordinated campaign by Iran, Russia, and the Syrian regime to expel the U.S. from Syria, potentially bolstering the Assad regime's legitimacy and enhancing Iranian-Russian control in the region.

Recent anti-terrorism operations by the SDF, alongside international coalition partners, targeted and killed senior ISIS leader Muhammed Atiyah. However, ISIS activities have escalated in specific regions, fueled by tensions, Turkish, and Iranian attacks.

Turkey's increased airstrikes against Kurdish militants, particularly the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) and the People’s Protection Units (YPG), exacerbate regional tensions. While the PKK is designated as a U.S.-designated foreign terrorist group, the U.S. supports the YPG due to its role in countering ISIS.

David Adesnik, a senior fellow, and director of research at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, explained the historic animosity between Turks and Kurds, emphasizing the complex dynamics and challenges in navigating the relationships with Kurdish groups.

As geopolitical complexities unfold, the region remains on edge, with the specter of a U.S. withdrawal intensifying concerns about the resurgence of ISIS, potential persecution of minorities, and broader regional instability.

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